Victory probability mapObama lead over time

Thursday, August 21, 2008

Obama drop

Obama has continued to drop in the polls, and I now have McCain favored in OH, NV, and VA. The good news for him is that he's still winning the popular vote, winning the electoral vote, and (unlike Kerry) he doesn't need OH to win: Obama's minimal coalition is Kerry+IA+NM+CO.

I've updated the time-series chart, and I'll update the sidebar and graphics this weekend. In the meantime, I'm cheering for the Americans to make a big comeback in the volleyball finals...

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