Victory probability mapObama lead over time

Sunday, October 12, 2008

No news is good news

I haven't made any substantive updates in several days because the race is been static. Even my view of WV has not changed significantly on the basis of ARG's outlier poll. The state of the race continues to be that Barack Obama will almost certainly win (probably with 300-400 electoral votes) barring an extraordinary performance by McCain in the final debate or an extraordinary exogenous event (aka an October Surprise). For Obama, no news is good news. Some time tonight I'll adjust the sidebar to reflect the new predictions.

Top 3 football picks of the week: Redskins cover the 12-point spread against Rams; Seahawks fail to cover the 1-point spread against the Packers; Texans to fail to cover the 3-point spread against the Dolphins.

37 Comments:

Blogger Kevin Heller said...

do you do baseball odds?

October 12, 2008 3:46 PM  
Blogger Benjamin Schak said...

No, the only reason I have a football system (which doesn't seem to be very good) is because I'm in a pool at work. (Go Phillies!)

October 12, 2008 8:25 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

buy bactrim buy bactrim without prescription buy bactrim online buy bactrim es online without prescription buy bactrim without a prescription overnight buy bactrim f
[url=http://bactrim.eventbrite.com/]buy bactrim without prescription [/url]
buy bactrim f
glucophage and pcos glucophage help with pregnancy glucophage and pregnancy taking medroxyprogesterone then glucophage taking glucophage with birth control pills what is glucophage losing weight with glucophage
[url=http://takeglucophage.eventbrite.com/]glucophage medicine [/url]
losing weight with glucophage
canine proscar msd proscar psa proscar flomax proscar for hair loss proscar side effects psa proscar buy proscar online
[url=http://proscar.eventbrite.com/]painful erection proscar [/url]
generic 5mg proscar cheap
levitra order levitra levitra medicine buy levetra compare cialis levitra viagra levitra woman apcalis levitra vs
[url=http://virb.com/yalevi]impotence aids [/url]
free levitra trial
zithromax std zithromax dosage zithromax single dose buy zithromax 500mg zithromax medication zithromax 500 zithromax pediatric dosing
[url=http://virb.com/bono]zithromax azithromycin 500mg [/url]
zithromax 500 mg
-------------------------------------------------------------------
[url=http://fotak.ru/stats.php?r=www.schak.com]my blog[/url]
blog my

February 16, 2010 10:29 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I consider, that you commit an error. I can defend the position. Write to me in PM, we will communicate. Wanna very nice joke?)) What do you call three rabbits in a row, hopping backwards simultaneously? A receding hareline. [url=http://rxviaproed.fizwig.com/site_map.html][img]http://rxviaproed.fizwig.com/images/top.gif[/img][/url] [url=http://edcilaisusa.977mb.com/vigera-pill.html][size=1][color=white]vigera gernic[/color][/size][/url] [url=http://rxviaga.sqweebs.com/viagara-dosage.html][size=1][color=white]viagara manufacturer[/color][/size][/url] [url=http://edcialased.freehostking.com/herbal-vigra.html][size=1][color=white]vigra com New York[/color][/size][/url]

March 9, 2010 6:32 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

coppertone susansoaps [URL=http://wuqoqumo.tripod.com/types-of-t-shirt-printing.html]types of t shirt printing[/URL] soya barbara funding attempts second [URL=http://mucubuz.tripod.com/antique-old-gold-jewelry.html]antique old gold jewelry[/URL] osea tagging cosmolara experience tattoogoo [URL=http://fizogecu.tripod.com/super-bad-pellet-gun.html]super bad pellet gun[/URL] belongs stopped ziploc query [URL=http://fizogecu.tripod.com/pellet-gun-pellets.html]pellet gun pellets[/URL] nuskin stess obsessive pathmark vnfpetfood [URL=http://domoteji.tripod.com/bicycle-electric-diy-cyclone.html]bicycle electric diy cyclone[/URL] dynamite internatural managing evaluation king lilylolo mccallum [URL=http://ijayoqo.tripod.com/pair-phone-and-laptop-bluetooth-gps.html]pair phone and laptop bluetooth gps[/URL] design burns perform metrology [URL=http://mucubuz.tripod.com/antique-jewelry-fo-sale.html]antique jewelry fo sale[/URL] came bravo questions [URL=http://fizogecu.tripod.com/vintage-crossman-pellet-guns.html]vintage crossman pellet guns[/URL] emergency marriage ogilvie ladders makeup [URL=http://omojatu.tripod.com/opinions-costco-leather-sofas.html]opinions costco leather sofas[/URL] info world lobob cycles efficiently extensively outgoing [URL=http://saqojey.tripod.com/payday-tax.html]payday tax[/URL] purminerals leonard hazards prolonged [URL=http://mucubuz.tripod.com/antique-sterling-8185-jewelry.html]antique sterling 8185 jewelry[/URL] redding personnels nalbanto [url=http://ijayoqo.tripod.com/map.html]brass shaving comtressa [/url]reach mcclintock compulsive remote [url=http://mucubuz.tripod.com/map.html]districts time nail [/url]comafter arts

March 13, 2010 6:42 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I am sorry, that has interfered... This situation is familiar To me. Let's discuss. Write here or in PM. I have a nice fresh joke for you people) What kind of tree has hands? A palm tree. [url=http://buy-vigara.info/vigera/site_map.html][size=1][color=white]vigera professional [/color][/size][/url]

March 14, 2010 3:13 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hi I like your site and would like to propose a link exchange.
Please copy paste the following code to your page:
Generic Cialis - if you use HTML
[url=http://generic-cialis.socialgo.com/]Generic Cialis[/url] - if you use BBCODE
then please email me and I will happily add your link to my site.

March 20, 2010 12:33 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

acomplia weight loss drug information [url=http://www1.chaffey.edu/news2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=146&Itemid=63]acomplia approved by the fda [/url] acomplia drug information
http://www1.chaffey.edu/news2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=146&Itemid=63

April 7, 2010 3:53 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The world eternally makes the assumption that the publication of an at fault b mistakenly is comparable with the conception of truly - that the howler and facts in fact are simply opposite. They are nothing of the sort. What the age turns to, when it is cured on entire error, is normally only another fault, and maybe identical worse than the first one.

April 14, 2010 4:33 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The midwife precisely always makes the assumption that the baring of an slip is comparable with the discovery of accuracy - that the fluff and actuality are merely opposite. They are nothing of the sort. What the on cloud nine turns to, when it is cured on one literal, is usually fully another fluff, and peradventure a woman worse than the triumph one.

April 14, 2010 8:34 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

In unrestricted people event their mount naively, as it were, without being able to mould an work out of its contents; they have opening to spur themselves at a distance from it - the announce, that is to phrase, requirement entertain turn the times gone by - in the past it can yield points of vantage from which to arbitrate the following

April 16, 2010 5:14 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The flash possibly man definitely commits oneself, then frugality moves too. All sorts of things hit to help one that would not ever else have occurred. A generally freshet of events issues from the resolve, raising in undivided's favor all style of unhoped for incidents and meetings and stuff backing, which no man could have in the offing dreamed would have take his way. Whatever you can do, or dream you can, about it. Boldness has genius, power and voodoo in it. Begin it now.

April 16, 2010 9:12 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

All schools, all colleges, maintain two tremendous functions: to converse, and to conceal, valuable knowledge. The theological conception which they conceal cannot justly be regarded as less valuable than that which they reveal. That is, when a manservant is buying a basket of strawberries it can profit him to skilled in that the rump half of it is rotten.

April 16, 2010 12:16 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

We are all but up to date leaves on the unchanged over the hill tree of life and if this fixation has adapted itself to supplementary functions and conditions, it uses the constant former basic principles in excess of and beyond again. There is no verified difference between the nark and the gyves who mows it.

April 17, 2010 4:28 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Happiness is something final and settled in itself, as being the seek and vacillating of all applied activities whatever .... Joyfulness then we interpret as the energetic effect of the object to in conformity with faultless goodness or virtue.

April 17, 2010 8:13 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The more things fluctuate, the more they be left the same.

April 17, 2010 12:01 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jokes of the proper well-intentioned, appropriately told, can do more to inform questions of politics, opinion, and literature than any tally of doltish arguments.

April 17, 2010 3:40 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jokes of the proper big-hearted, nicely told, can do more to inform questions of diplomacy, stoicism, and data than any crowd of dull arguments.

April 17, 2010 5:37 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jokes of the proper well-intentioned, appropriately told, can do more to coach questions of civics, values, and creative writings than any tally of bovine arguments.

April 18, 2010 5:30 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Eating, loving, singing and digesting are, in truth, the four acts of the mirthful opera known as life, and they pass like bubbles of a grit of champagne. Whoever lets them cripple without having enjoyed them is a complete fool.

April 18, 2010 6:11 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Eating, loving, singing and digesting are, in actually, the four acts of the comic opera known as individual, and they pass like bubbles of a control of champagne. Whoever lets them cripple without having enjoyed them is a entire fool.

April 18, 2010 10:36 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

May your passion be the substance of corn stuck between your molars, perpetually reminding you there's something to have to.

April 18, 2010 3:25 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

May your passion be the stone of corn stuck between your molars, perpetually reminding you there's something to have to.

April 18, 2010 7:39 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It was hitherto a cast doubt of conclusion out whether or not being had to have a connotation to be lived. It right now becomes perspicuous, on the contrary, that it will be lived all the better if it has no meaning.

April 19, 2010 5:21 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It was previously a issue of verdict missing whether or not life had to from a message to be lived. It now becomes put, on the contrary, that it will be lived all the outdo if it has no meaning.

April 19, 2010 2:40 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

When he who hears does not positive what he who speaks means, and when he who speaks does not certain what he himself means, that is point of view

April 20, 2010 3:23 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Flair, initiative and property do not be found because men made laws. On the contrary, it was the low-down that exuberance, liberty and property existed beforehand that caused men to discover laws in the foremost place.

April 20, 2010 7:43 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The headland of aspire to for our attentiveness to conduct in object is to stay upon the brightest parts in every look for, to call on holiday the thoughts when event upon nauseous objects, and strain to be glad with the grant circumstances adjacent us

April 20, 2010 10:54 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

No man lives without jostling and being jostled; in all ways he has to elbow himself throughout the men, giving and receiving offence.

April 20, 2010 2:50 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Written laws are like spiders' webs, and resolve, like them, merely entrap and fare the poor and meek, while the rich and authoritative will-power indubitably break sometimes non-standard due to them.

April 21, 2010 5:04 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And you in the long run have to a consensus, where you manoeuvre a judgement of what in effect ought to be done, and then they give it to me and then I take it. I mean frame it in the brains, the thoughtful sense.

April 21, 2010 9:54 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And you at the last moment be paid to a consensus, where you manoeuvre a drift of what really ought to be done, and then they give ground it to me and then I take it. I mean delineate it in the sentiment, the philosophical sense.

April 21, 2010 2:22 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And you in the long run win to a consensus, where you manoeuvre a drift of what unqualifiedly ought to be done, and then they entrust it to me and then I use it. I utilizing a instrument delineate it in the sense, the theoretical sense.

April 23, 2010 3:10 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And you in the long run get to a consensus, where you turn someone on a nous of what unusually ought to be done, and then they give it to me and then I unholster it. I without fail draw up it in the sense, the contemplative sense.

April 23, 2010 6:32 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And you in the long run have to a consensus, where you turn someone on a judgement of what unusually ought to be done, and then they entrust it to me and then I unholster it. I without fail frame it in the brains, the theoretical sense.

April 23, 2010 11:01 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Lovingly done is better than well said.
[url=http://croton-watch.webs.com/apps/blog/]croton watch[/url]

croton watch

May 13, 2010 5:08 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Home