Funny

Here's a funny coincidence. The day after I criticized FiveThirtyEight.com for having stale predictions in OH/PA/CO/etc. even though new polling elsewhere suggested a national surge for Obama, Poblano did something to address that issue. I haven't read closely enough yet to understand what he's doing, but it does bear noting that his expected EV has jumped from 278 to 308, which is now very close to my prediction of 312.

The main practical differences between the two sites is now 1) Poblano is a much better communicator than I am, and 2) I believe that popular opinion is less volatile than he thinks (which leads him to think that the underdog has a better chance than I believe in most cases).